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What Harsh demonstrated
Built an end-to-end demand forecasting workflow on 9,648 historical transactions: resampled sales to monthly frequency, decomposed trend and seasonality, compared moving average, linear regression, and SARIMA models, and evaluated them with MAE, RMSE, and MAPE on a true future holdout. The final comparison showed SARIMA as the strongest forecast, supported by clear visual and metric-based analysis.
- Leakage-Free Time-Series Splitting
- Comparative Forecast Evaluation
- Seasonality and Trend Detection
- Business-Oriented Insight Extraction
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