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What Sam demonstrated
Built a leakage-aware gas-turbine TEY predictor using the eight pre-combustion sensors, with CO and NOx excluded because they are downstream emissions. Validated on a chronological holdout, compared Linear Regression against a Random Forest, and reported honest held-out performance (about 1.5 MWh MAE, ~0.98 R2) alongside residual analysis and a practical monitoring plan.
- Leakage-Free Feature Selection
- Chronological Holdout Validation
- Honest Held-Out Evaluation
- Model Risk Communication
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